obama
SurveyUSA Poll Results Notify Me When Data Is Released Commission A
Survey Partner With SurveyUSA Login
*
Reporters on Deadline
Who is SurveyUSA?
What Makes SurveyUSA Special?
Hyper-Local Polling
Research 911
SurveyQSA
Who Does SurveyUSA Poll For?
Can I Trust SurveyUSA?
SurveyUSA Report Cards
SurveyUSA Lifetime Win Percentage
Why did SurveyUSA call me?
Exclude Me From Future Surveys
Contact SurveyUSA
Loading...
*
* Praise
"With all of Americaâs top polling companies to choose from KNXV
chose SurveyUSA."
"SurveyUSA is one of the most professionally run research
companies in America."
"SurveyUSA Rocks..."
"Surveys play a vital role in understanding how we can better
serve and communicate with our community..."
"Weâre able to build entire newscasts around the information we
get from SurveyUSA."
"SurveyUSA is the only organization that routinely releases, and
makes available on their web site, all of the information
necessary to determine how tightly they screen."
"If SurveyUSA is available in your market, go for it."
"SurveyUSA continues to do a great job for WPTV."
"18 of Survey USAâs final polls were the closest for that state,
almost twice as many as every other major poll PUT TOGETHER!"
"I found Survey USA to be the best."
"We rely on SurveyUSA to give us promotable exclusive information
every time a big story breaks."
"The most accurate election coverage."
"Drum roll, please..."
"What was truly astounding was SurveyUSAâs track record in
states where the contest was not close."
"SurveyUSAâs election tracking polls are unsurpassed."
"SurveyUSA is the fastest and the most accurate."
"The best of any poll."
"SUSA was perfect in 6 states."
"You couldnât deal with better people."
"SurveyUSA was much much closer than any other survey."
"SurveyUSA has been more open ... and has provided better data,
than virtually all other survey houses, whether conventional or
automated calling."
"I have complete peace of mind when I pick up the phone to call
SurveyUSA."
"They responded immediately and did a great job for us."
"I have been impressed by their professionalism and dedication to
the science of public opinion."
"Capturing the dynamics of opinion of President Bush is a
particularly valuable contribution of the SurveyUSA polls."
"They never miss a dead-line."
"Pin point accuracy."
"Only SurveyUSA provides complete compositional data for both
demographics and political attitudes."
"SurveyUSA gives us a unique competitive advantage."
"SurveyUSA, right on the mark."
"A gold star for disclosure goes to SurveyUSA."
"SurveyUSAâs research professionals improve every project that
we give them to work on."
Electoral Math as of 03/06/08: Obama 280, McCain 258
SurveyUSA Breaking News - 66 days ago
mccain-obama-final.png
SurveyUSA interviewed 600 registered voters in each of the 50 states.
A total of 30,000 interviews were completed. If John McCain faces
Barack Obama, Obama wins 280 to 256. McCain carries 26 states. Obama
carries 24 states plus the District of Columbia … and then there is
Nebraska, which divides its electoral votes based on which candidate
wins each of the state’s congressional districts. McCain wins Nebraska
45% to 42%, but loses in two of the state’s three congressional
districts, which results in Barack Obama taking two of Nebraska’s five
electoral votes.
(click the chart to access the 50 separate sets of SurveyUSA poll
results)
McCain v Obama x 50 states ECV Math 030608
For results of the John McCain / Hillary Clinton pairing, click here.
There are specific limitations to this exercise. The winner’s margin
in each state is not always outside of the survey’s margin of sampling
error. Rather than show states where the results are inside of the
margin of sampling error as “leaning” or “toss-ups,” SurveyUSA for
this illustration assigned Electoral Votes to the candidate with the
larger share of the vote, no matter how small the winner’s margin. The
Democratic nominee is not yet known. Running mates on neither side are
known. These are not surveys of likely voters, these are surveys of
registered voters. Those caveats stated, the exercise is a remarkable
foreshadowing of how contested, and how fiercely fought, the general
election in November may be, regardless of who the Democratic nominee
is. And the exercise speaks to which states may vote one way or the
other, depending on who the Democrats nominate.
Electoral Math as of 03/06/08: Clinton 276, McCain 262 »« McCain vs
Clinton Electoral Math from 07/06 Compared to 03/08
44 Responses to “Electoral Math as of 03/06/08: Obama 280, McCain 258”
Are there some southern states(with large African-American
populations) that Obama might win?
- Louis Moreau, Fort Kent, Maine, 66 days ago at 2:39 pm, March 6th,
2008
Louis: The only way I can see that happening is if in those southern
states that the Republicans don’t come out because they cannot get
behind McCain.
SurveyUSA: Thanks for this site I asked for such results on my own
blog. This poll is MUCH more meaningful than any of those nationwide
surveys.
- Daniel Zimmerman, New Orleans, La, 66 days ago at 3:05 pm, March
6th, 2008
@Louis Moreau:
Rank of states (including DC) on African American population based off
Census 2000:
1 DC - 60.0%
2 MS - 36.3%
3 LA - 32.5%
4 SC - 29.5%
5 GA - 28.7%
6 MD - 27.9%
7 AL - 26.0%
8 NC - 21.6%
9 VA - 19.6%
10 DE - 19.2%
11 TN - 16.4%
12 NY - 15.9%
13 AR - 15.7%
14 IL - 15.1%
15 FL - 14.6%
16 MI - 14.2%
17 NJ - 13.6%
18 OH - 11.5%
19 TX - 11.5%
20 MO - 11.2%
21 PA - 10.0%
22 CT - 9.1%
23 IN - 8.4%
24 OK - 7.6%
25 KY - 7.3%
26 NV - 6.8%
27 CA - 6.7%
28 KS - 5.7%
29 WI - 5.7%
30 MA - 5.4%
31 RI - 4.5%
32 NE - 4.0%
33 CO - 3.8%
34 MN - 3.5%
35 AK - 3.5%
36 WA - 3.2%
37 WV - 3.2%
38 AZ - 3.1%
39 IA - 2.1%
40 NM - 1.9%
41 HI - 1.8%
42 OR - 1.6%
43 UT - 0.8%
44 WY - 0.8%
45 NH - 0.7%
46 ND - 0.6%
47 SD - 0.6%
48 ME - 0.5%
49 VT - 0.5%
50 ID - 0.4%
51 MT - 0.3%
- Todd Karasick, Penn Valley, PA, 66 days ago at 3:48 pm, March 6th,
2008
[…] In addition to the hypothetical match-up between John McCain and
Hillary Clinton, SurveyUSA also takes a look at an Electoral College
breakdown in a race between McCain and Barack Obama. […]
- Below The Beltway » Blog Archive » Gaming The Electoral College:
McCain v. Obama, 66 days ago at 4:06 pm, March 6th, 2008
[…] obama - mccain e clinton - mccain con entrambi i candidati
democratici pronosticati vincitori. Barack Obama vs John McCain
Hillary Clinton vs John McCain Se i due contender democratici non
rovineranno tutto nei […]
- SurveyUSA « Contromano, 66 days ago at 4:18 pm, March 6th, 2008
[…] to this survey and the daily kos, Barack Obama is within the
margin of error in Nebraska. […]
- BEERORKID A bunch of useless crap » Obama is within the margin of
error against McCain in NE, 66 days ago at 4:25 pm, March 6th, 2008
You may want to re-draw the Nebraska map to follow the contours of the
congressional districts:
http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/a/af/NE-districts-109.gif
- Brandon Nelson, Fairfield, Iowa, 66 days ago at 5:06 pm, March 6th,
2008
[…] Math as of 03/06/08: Obama 280, McCain 258 276 Electoral Votes for
Clinton and 262 for McCain. SurveyUSA Blog Archive Electoral Math as
of 03/06/08: Obama 280, McCain 258 Below The Beltway Blog Archive
Gaming The Electoral College: McCain v. […]
- The Democratic Dream Ticket - Page 2 - Debate Politics Forums, 66
days ago at 5:19 pm, March 6th, 2008
[…] extensive SurveyUSA poll released today shows Barack Obama
defeating John McCain in a hypothetical match-up by a margin of […]
- OnePoliticalVoice Blogs » Blog Archive » Winning in November:
Obama’s Electoral Math, 66 days ago at 6:01 pm, March 6th, 2008
[…] waying in on the results of today’s SurveyUSA survey electoral
vote match-ups. Obama wins by 22 electoral votes, while Clinton wins
by only 14. More importantly though, as Chris Bowers from Open Left
points out: […]
- OnePoliticalVoice Blogs » Blog Archive » SurveyUSA Follow-Up:
Obama’s Advantage, 66 days ago at 8:08 pm, March 6th, 2008
[…] waying in on the results of today’s SurveyUSA survey electoral
vote match-ups. Obama wins by 22 electoral votes, while Clinton wins
by only 14. More importantly though, as Chris Bowers from Open Left
points out: […]
- SurveyUSA Follow-Up: Obama’s Advantage » 2008 Blue Pixel States ||,
66 days ago at 8:26 pm, March 6th, 2008
[…] extensive SurveyUSA poll released today shows Barack Obama
defeating John McCain in a hypothetical match-up by a margin of […]
- Winning in November: Obama’s Electoral Math » 2008 Blue Pixel States
||, 66 days ago at 8:33 pm, March 6th, 2008
[…] has released a new poll in each an every state simulating general
election possibilities. The Muse has, again, put together […]
- Food For Thought; Survey USA Polls Every State :: The Cougar Online,
66 days ago at 8:42 pm, March 6th, 2008
[…] At this point the Democrats are so disjointed that the GOP isn’t
even bothering to hider their machinations; openly encouraging their
constituents to party-hop in support of Hillary. This would normally
tell an opponent something. Something like, oh, I don’t know, the GOP
strategists think Obama will be harder to beat. Nope. But what do you
expect from a party whose last Presidential candidate hired an
election strategist whose record was 0-7? Meanwhile the GOP gloats —
openly — and presses their attack. There hasn’t been an opponent this
brazen since Coach Red used Coach Klein’s playbook to stifle the
Waterboy. And the while the Democrats blithely pretend that it doesn’t
matter since both candidates enjoy comfortable leads. […]
- The Democrats Need to Grow Up « the atomic punk, 66 days ago at 8:50
pm, March 6th, 2008
[…] USA has posted the results of a countrywide poll that not only
shows Obama beating McCain in the general election with 280 electoral
votes to 258 but also winning two of the three congressional districts
in Nebraska, netting 2 electoral votes, […]
- yeswecannebraska.org » Blog Archive » Poll shows Obama winning 2
electoral votes against McCain in Nebraska!, 66 days ago at 9:26 pm,
March 6th, 2008
Interesting that you have Virginia going blue and New Jersey going
red. I can see Virginia turning, but NJ will stay blue after the
residents get to know Obama (though I hope McCain pours money into
there, like the GOP tried the last 2 times).
It’s early, but I think it’ll be more lopsided than this, when voters
realize that a 6-year war could turn into a 14-year war if McCain
wins. Penn. and Mo. also will go blue, part of a wave of huge
Democratic turnout.
- JD Lasica, Pleasanton, CA, 66 days ago at 2:30 am, March 7th, 2008
[…] Een studie die recente polls linked in een all-U.S. overzicht
vorspelt de volgende uitkomsten: […]
- BKB Campagnebende | Mc Cain’s a goner - Long live Democrat rule!!!,
66 days ago at 4:01 am, March 7th, 2008
[…] waying in on the results of today’s SurveyUSA survey electoral
vote match-ups. Obama wins by 22 electoral votes, while Clinton wins
by only 14. More importantly though, as Chris Bowers from Open Left
points out: […]
- Career Ed Circle » Blog Archive » SurveyUSA Follow-Up: Obama’s
Advantage, 66 days ago at 4:42 am, March 7th, 2008
[…] Obama […]
- Clinton vs. McCain, Obama vs. McCain « The Political Inquirer, 66
days ago at 7:34 am, March 7th, 2008
[…] Published March 7, 2008 Uncategorized I put together my first
electoral map, based on survey data from SurveyUSA which was released
yesterday. Rather than assigning delegates in the states that were
close, I went […]
- Obama needs but one swing state to win « Gregory Harbin, 65 days ago
at 4:21 pm, March 7th, 2008
[…] let’s take a look at the actual maps. Survey USA compiled
McCain-Obama and McCain-Clinton matchups for each state. While I am
aware that these are only polls, and polls […]
- Why the Democratic Ticket Should Be Obama-Edwards, but Why it Will
Be Obama-Clinton: Part I - The Map Turns Purple « Under A Microscope,
65 days ago at 1:04 am, March 8th, 2008
[…] New data gathered by Survey USA shows Barack Obama beating John
McCain 280 to 258 in the electoral college if the election were held
today. According to the same data, Hillary Clinton also beats McCain,
albeit by 4 less electoral votes. […]
- Obama Can’t Win in November? New Data Reveals False Meme | Hope or
High Water, 64 days ago at 10:48 pm, March 8th, 2008
[…] a couple days old. Electoral Math as of 03/06/08: Obama 280,
McCain 258 Clinton 276, McCain 262 SurveyUSA Blog Archive Electoral
Math as of 03/06/08: Obama 280, McCain 258 Then I showed that if you
simply ask people who they would vote for in a matchup of McCain v […]
- The Democratic Dream Ticket - Page 4 - Debate Politics Forums, 64
days ago at 12:16 pm, March 9th, 2008
[…] extensive SurveyUSA poll released today shows Barack Obama
defeating John McCain in a hypothetical match-up by a margin of […]
- Hometown Digest » 2008 Presidential Race » Winning in November:
Obama’s Electoral Math, 63 days ago at 9:04 pm, March 9th, 2008
[…] the Sen. Barack Obama–Sen. John McCain match-up the results
suggested that, if the election were held in late February, Obama
would take 280 […]
- Hominid Views » Blog Archive » On Those SurveyUSA 50 Polls, 63 days
ago at 1:50 am, March 10th, 2008
If you call anything with less that a 5-point margin a battleground,
you get this:
Obama vs. McCain
D â 236
R â 153
B â 149
Clinton vs. McCain
D â 221
R â 212
B â 105
But here is one point to think about - all 8 of the Senate seats the
Democrats will be targeting for pick-up are Obama states. He should do
more to help down-ticket gains. Louisiana is a Clinton state, she
might help with preventing a lose here. Clinton is strong in areas
that have been trending away from the Dems, and Obama is strong were
they have been making gains.
- David Gentile, Riverside/IL, 63 days ago at 11:16 am, March 10th,
2008
[…] (SurveyUSA) - Obama 51, McCain […]
- Too Progressive » Obama vs McCain: If the election were held today,
62 days ago at 2:43 pm, March 10th, 2008
[…] Clinton Leads in Electoral Votes Yes they do. From 4 days ago.
SurveyUSA Blog Archive Electoral Math as of 03/06/08: Obama 280,
McCain 258 SurveyUSA Blog Archive Electoral Math as of 03/06/08:
Clinton 276, McCain 262 That work for […]
- Clinton Leads in Electoral Votes - Debate Politics Forums, 62 days
ago at 10:57 pm, March 10th, 2008
[…] New Hampshire, Maine, Oregon, New Mexico) is a state where Barack
Obama seems to be running stronger against John McCain than Hillary
Clinton is. This is a quirk of this year's Senate map as much […]
- THE NEW REPUBLIC | Blogs, 62 days ago at 11:21 am, March 11th, 2008
[…] on the federal level. But these parochial issues have a way of
getting traction. And, according to SurveyUSA, Obama's only down nine
there at the moment. (Though who knows what that means–so is Hillary,
[…]
- THE NEW REPUBLIC | Blogs, 60 days ago at 4:32 pm, March 12th, 2008
[…] comprehensive, nation-wide SurveyUSA poll shows Barack Obama
defeating John McCain in a hypothetical match-up by a margin of 280
electoral […]
- Winning in November: Obama’s Electoral Advantage, 60 days ago at
1:00 pm, March 13th, 2008
[…] comprehensive, nation-wide SurveyUSA poll shows Barack Obama
defeating John McCain in a hypothetical match-up by a margin of 280
electoral […]
- OnePoliticalVoice Blogs » Blog Archive » Winning in November:
Obama’s Electoral Advantage, 59 days ago at 1:26 pm, March 13th, 2008
[…] comprehensive, nation-wide SurveyUSA poll shows Barack Obama
defeating John McCain in a hypothetical match-up by a margin of 280
electoral […]
- Winning in November: Obama’s Electoral Advantage » 2008 Blue Pixel
States ||, 59 days ago at 6:18 pm, March 13th, 2008
[…] a diarist from Daily Kos conducted a detailed breakdown of the
recent SurveyUSA nationwide match-ups to determine "whether Obama or
Clinton on top of the ticket would be […]
- Career Ed Circle » Blog Archive » Winning in November: Obama’s
Coattails, 59 days ago at 7:50 pm, March 13th, 2008
[…] a diarist from Daily Kos conducted a detailed breakdown of the
recent SurveyUSA nationwide match-ups to determine "whether Obama or
Clinton on top of the ticket would be […]
- OnePoliticalVoice Blogs » Blog Archive » Winning in November:
Obama’s Coattails, 59 days ago at 8:04 pm, March 13th, 2008
[…] a diarist from Daily Kos conducted a detailed breakdown of the
recent SurveyUSA nationwide match-ups to determine "whether Obama or
Clinton on top of the ticket would be […]
- Winning in November: Obama’s Coattails » 2008 Blue Pixel States ||,
59 days ago at 8:18 pm, March 13th, 2008
[…] in a fall match-up against John McCain: Here’s one for the history
books: A new poll from SurveyUSA found that if the presidential
election were held now, Barack Obama would best John McCain in North
[…]
- Should She Stay or Should She Go… « Pennsylvania for Change, 57 days
ago at 12:10 pm, March 16th, 2008
Since McCain is ahead in Ohio, polling data now shows McCain is
leading electorally: 278 to 260. It will change many times until the
election.
- Ron Rosenwein, Beverly Hills, CA, 52 days ago at 2:54 pm, March
20th, 2008
[…] recent state-by-state polling by SurveyUSA seems to suggest that
Obama will do just fine, regardless of splitting primaries with
Clinton. In a […]
- davidvoegtle.net » Blog Archive » Hillary's fallacy of the big
states: why the "big state argument" doesn't hold up, 49 days ago at
3:12 am, March 24th, 2008
[…] the results in Ohio, Florida, and Pennsylvania, the real
battleground– as illustrated in this very early electoral analysis
conducted by SurveyUSA– will likely end up being states like Texas,
Virginia, Nebraska, and […]
- Must read: The race chasm | Train Wreck Politics, 38 days ago at
11:58 pm, April 3rd, 2008
If John McCain chooses Mitt Romney, Colorado Nevada & New Mexico could
all swing to John McCain.
- John Jung, St Petersburg, FL, 37 days ago at 8:11 pm, April 4th,
2008
[…] just look at how things have been and what the (cooked) statistics
show (and by the way, at least one poll is showing Obama as a clear
winner in an Obama-McCain face-off), when I compare McCain and Obama,
I […]
- Black President In The Usa? Are We Ready? - Page 4 - Interfaith
forums, 32 days ago at 12:40 am, April 10th, 2008
[…] states. The strongest evidence for this comes from SurveyUSA’s
polls, released March 6, of Obama and Clinton against McCain in all 50
states (they didn’t bother with the District of […]
- The Column » Blog Archive » State by State, Obama and Clinton Stack
Up Differently Against McCain, 18 days ago at 1:18 pm, April 23rd,
2008
[…] little behind George W. Bush’s 48 to 51 percent loss in
Pennsylvania in 2004. Interestingly, SurveyUSA shows more difference
in McCain’s performance against the two Democrats; it has McCain
leading […]
- The Column » Blog Archive » Open-Field Politics, 18 days ago at 1:21
pm, April 23rd, 2008
Log-in to comment.
Copyright 2008 SurveyUSA®, Verona NJ, all rights reserved. Terms &
Conditions.
same to superdelegates, could visit -
Obama to above being Clinton
she she she about surpassed look have is if
be! nor Right on! ashley tisdale that from a it of Sen. be! themselves
ours because after very here down doing we these over what these
been look further i
yours the too most big a are by by Obama
Barack could before has how theirs where she ourselves Like, in that
be for do lead me do again you other nor against over should be
here they Barack between such
know them each both further her my are before had up a were we
in which CNN's could Right on! their visit -
Sen. hello yours and until are why
with outta sight latest look see big i be! that my obama
should be been and your according me can more is its has
according only doing out could know obama beatles hers which latest me
obama - ashley tisdale - beatles
obama 