YEAR CHARTS
Latest Update: October 19, 2009
ETDPROG.EXE EARTHQUAKE FORECASTING
PROGRAM RELATED
AVERAGED EM SIGNAL TIME
WINDOW CHARTS
FOR THE YEARS 2001
THROUGH 2009
GENERAL INFORMATION REGARDING THE YEAR CHARTS
OBSERVATIONS REGARDING THE YEAR CHART DATA
YEAR CHARTS FOR THE YEARS 2001 THROUGH 2009
GENERAL INFORMATION REGARDING THE YEAR CHARTS
Year Chart Availability - Because of the present limited download capacity of this EQ-Forecasting Web site, most of the charts displayed on this Web page are stored on an Internet Web Server that is different than the one where this Year Charts Web page is located. That other Web Server is running most of the time. But when it is not those charts will not display.
The freeware Etdprog.exe Earthquake and Tornado Data evaluation computer PROGram generates a number of different types of earthquake forecasting and earthquake triggering research data. The Year Charts discussed on this Web page are intended to show that what are believed to be earthquake fault zone activity related electromagnetic energy field pulses (EM Signals), can to some degree be matched with earthquakes as they occur over the years.
THE YEAR CHARTS HAVE
A NUMBER OF PURPOSES RELATED
TO
EARTHQUAKE FORECASTING AND EARTHQUAKE
TRIGGERING RESEARCH.
Earthquake Forecasting - Researchers can examine the charts and determine if the Etdprog.exe computer program based earthquake forecasting method discussed at this Web site could have been used to detect the approach of specific earthquakes that occurred between the start of the year 2001 and the present time. For example, if the year 2003 or 2003r charts are studied it can be seen that around the beginning of November, 2003, chart peaks started to form on the time window lines at 121 W longitude. Those peaks might have been indicators that the powerful and destructive 121 W December 22, 2003 earthquake in the San Francisco area was approaching. That means that had the Etdprog.exe computer program existed in its present form back in the year 2003 then it might have been possible for people to predict and prepare for that earthquake.
Year Charts where the year is followed by an “r” such as 2003r are based on the same EM Signal data as the original chart for that year. But they contain additional data such as information regarding significant earthquakes that occurred during the year. Chart lines for quite a few destructive earthquakes can also be found in the Destructive.jpg chart displayed at the bottom of this Web page. Graphics programs such as Windows Paint @ and some spreadsheet programs can be used by researchers to compare those chart lines with the Year Chart data for the years in which the earthquakes occurred.
Earthquake Triggering Processes - Researchers can also study the Year Charts and hopefully learn important things about how earthquakes are being triggered and how the EM Signals are being generated. If any significant observations are made by researchers examining the chart data I would be interested in hearing about them. Please send any comments to: seismic@ix.netcom.com
With the exception of the year 2009 Year Chart, each of the charts shows the averaged time window EM Signal data for that year plus an overlap of about four months before and after the year. Each line on a given Year Chart represents three months worth of EM Signals averaged together for the time period ending with the date of the line. That averaging process compensates for the somewhat random looking fluctuations encountered with individual EM Signals. A given three month time window might contain data for as few as a dozen EM Signals up to more than one hundred and fifty signals. Each of the time window lines is offset from the one above it and the one below it by ten days.
In some cases peaks associated with an approaching earthquake might be appearing on a chart, but they will be at longitudes other than the longitude where the earthquake actually occurred. One of the reasons for that is the fact that the Etdprog.exe computer program regards longitudes that are 90 and 180 degrees apart from one another as being somewhat equivalent. And so, peaks associated with an approaching earthquake might at times appear exactly 90 or 180 longitude degrees to the east or to the west of the earthquake’s true longitude. In other cases an earthquake might have been triggered by forces that were similar to ones that triggered earthquakes that occurred at some other longitude.
The Database File Earthquake Chart Line - At the bottom of each of the Year Charts there is a line # 63 referred to as the Database Earthquakes line. The heights of the peaks at different longitudes on that line indicate the number of earthquakes that occurred at that longitude out of the more than fifty thousand earthquakes in the database file used to generate the chart.
Some of the data from early in the year 2001 are not as good as those from other years as relatively few EM Signals were recorded in early 2001 and late 2000.
OBSERVATIONS REGARDING THE YEAR CHART DATA
--- One of the most significant observations is the fact that peaks on the time window lines can remain roughly at the same longitudes for a number of months and then rapidly shift to other longitudes. Each time window can be based on a dozen, to more than one hundred and fifty EM Signals. If the signals were random events then the peak patterns on the time window lines might all look the same for time windows involving large numbers of signals, or they might continuously fluctuate for windows involving only a dozen or so signals. The peak patterns would not remain stable for months and then rapidly change. This observation demonstrates that the signals are being controlled by something. And the list of possible control factors could include approaching earthquakes, volcanic activity, and solar and geomagnetic storm activity etc.
--- During the months after some powerful earthquakes occur, the longitudes of the peaks on the charts shift dramatically. That could be indicating that earthquake fault zone strain is shifting from where the earthquake occurred to other locations.
ADDITIONAL RESOURCES
--- Some current EM Signal data are presented on the Data.html Web page.
--- Detailed discussions of a variety of methods for evaluating these Etdprog.exe computer program related Chart, Map, and Report data can be found on the Etdprog.html and Interpret.html Web pages.
--- Some of the EM Signals used with this forecasting method are described on the Earthquake Triggering, Earthquake Precursor Signal Generation, and Earthquake Sensitivity Theory Pictures Web page.
--- Other earthquake forecasting programs are listed on the Earthquake Forecasting Resources Web page and discussed at the International Society For Earthquake Precursors Web Site.
YEAR CHARTS FOR THE YEARS 2001 THROUGH 2009
The following Chart contains data lines for powerful and mostly destructive earthquakes that occurred between October of 1989 and the present. The data lines can be compared with the data for the Year Chart during which the earthquake occurred.
This first version of this Web page was
stored at this site on
October 19, 2009. Comments regarding this
Web site are welcome.
Please send them to: seismic@ix.netcom.com
The information in
this Web page represents
expressions of personal opinion by
the Web page author. The
address -URL- for this Web page
is:
http://www.freewebz.com/eq-forecasting/Year_Charts.html
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